An analysis from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) published April 10 found that overall gas consumption decreased by 1 percent in 2025 when compared to the previous year, while overall vehicle-miles traveled (VMT) increased 1.2 percent. The divergence between the increased driving and decreased fuel use is attributed to improved vehicle fuel efficiency and the rising adoption of hybrid vehicles.
The analysis forecasts that vehicle fuel efficiency will continue to grow approximately 1 percent annually while VMT slows due to an aging population and slower employment growth. These two factors will further decrease fuel consumption, resulting in less revenue collected from state and federal gas taxes.
Read the analysis: Increasing fuel efficiency leads to decreasing gasoline consumption – U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)